Moses Supposes - Newsletter
  Industry information that you can actually use
  November 2000

In this issue:

Napster caught in a bold faced lie
AOL thinks they can "cure " gays.
Madonna declared more popular than Jesus
MTV folds The Box and conspires to keep the black man down 
    (Editorial scoop)
RIAA loses an important General in its war on the Internet
The Secure Digital Download Initiative apparently anything but:
   On-line music takes a giant leap sideways.

  and our exclusive:
Napster threatens a really nice guy and his son for infringing 
    on their logo

This letter is not news...

News is allegedly objective.  This is anything but. This is about 
interpreting the news into information that you can use.  The key to 
predicting the future is in interpreting the past.  In real terms, this
means understanding how the big players interpret their past mistakes.

And they make some big ones.  Let's take a look.  But first:

NEW ON MOSESAVALON.COM

In our launch month, MosesAvalon.com attracted over 7500 first time
users and was sited on Yahoo™s picks for "Cool Site of the Day".  
All this on your word-of-mouth.  Thank you one and all.

Scam of the Month

Many of you have written to me about the contracts of some of the new
on-line labels.  Some offer 70% royalties and nonrecoupable financing 
for half the advance.  But reality is the old adage, "if something sounds 
too good to be true, it usually is."  In this month's Scam of the Month I 
dissect a real sneaky son-of-a-bitch on-line record company contract and 
reveal its trapdoors and hidden land mines.  If you're considering signing 
with one of these guys you'll want to check this out.

Breaking Away

Every month or so MosesAvalon.com features an interesting, true story of 
people in the biz spreading their independent wings.  This month Steve
Frank tells how his big deal on Island was a flop and offers up real numbers
of advances, royalties and who screwed it up.  Excellent reading for those
who want to see Murphy's law of Major labels in action.  Click on "Breaking 
Away," on the home page.

If you have a great story about a major label experience, I want to hear 
about.  Send them to mosesavalon1@aol.com

Everything here can be reprinted, forwarded, or E-mailed.


NAPSTER THREATENS COPYRIGHT INFRINGEMENT SUIT

Exclusive!!!

In the "Isn't it Ironic Department," NapCrap, (www.napcrap.com) a pro
Napster site that sells very entertaining T-shirts that parody the Napster 
controversy, was threatened by Napster attorneys with a copyright 
infringement suit of their logo.

A fellow called Norm and his son, Stephen (who goes by the handle Rp)
started the site to support Napster in their fight against the Goliath 
Recording Industry Association of America (RIAA).  Stephen designed 
comic T-shirts (Great ones, I might add) that satire the Napster struggle, 
and advertised the shirts on their site.  Imagine Norm's reaction to learn 
that a law firm, hired by Napster to police the web for infringement, sent
 them a nasty letter.

Norm was shocked.  Especially since he had sent Napster an E-mail
telling them that he was putting up this site and never heard back from 
the file sharing service.  (They must have been a bit busy)  For a while 
there it seemed like the leading file-sharing company was unwilling to share
their logo in a "fair use" parody.  Considering how many copyright lawyers
Napster has under retainer at this time, you would think they could tell this
was the case.

Thus far Napster and NapCrap have a meeting of the minds and Norm and
Stephen are, at least for the moment, operating with their blessing.

It's nice to share.


MADONNA DECLARED MORE POPULAR THAN JESUS.

The World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) intends to kick some 
serious web butt in the digital age.  WIPO is an ad hoc policing
organization that includes its own court, where complainants can state their
case for trademark and copyright infringement.  This wouldn't be so bad if 
we could figure out how the WIPO "thinks" in the first place.  Behold their 
inconsistent method of justice:

This month they concluded that the domain name Madonna.com, currently 
registered to a porn distributor, was the rightly owner of the one and
only Material Girl, and promptly ordered it relinquished from its present
owner. Madonna, the "singer" (who has appeared in Penthouse and 
published a book of explicit photography) apparently felt that this rogue
 site and its"trashy material" might tarnish her image.  Madonna's case was 
based on the legal argument that the porn site's "art product" might be 
confused with Madonna's own.

The WIPO's decision (possibly swayed by free concert tickets) was in
direct contrast to a decision made earlier this year in the case regarding a
domain name called Sting.com.  In that case, British pop star Sting was
unsuccessful in obtaining the transfer of the domain name under the same
 argument used successfully by Madonna.  (Probably due to the fact that
 Madonna's testimony was probably more compelling to the all male panel of 
lawyers. )   The WIPO denied Sting's request because, according to them, the 
word "sting" is"a common English word." Whereas, "Madonna" could only
 mean the performer.
After the decision, Madonna was seen making a note in her Palmpilot to 
register the domain names "God.com and "Chirst.com," just in case. (I
made that part up)

In a related, fictitious story, Volkswagen is being sued by Paul
McCartney for possible infringement due to confusion of the Beetle automobile.  
It's apparently easy these days to mistake a popular car for the former
Beatle's recent string of popular hits.  In an interview with himself, McCartney
said, "I just don't want people to think I'm a imported fad from Germany."

How does this effect you?

If your real name is something like Bowie, Prince, Bonno, etc., you will
have to change it if you want to have a domain name that matches your own.

What to look for

The lawyers are going to have a field day with this one.  Watch for
many, many, many, many complaints brought by top artists against anyone
 with a domain name that sounds remotely similar to theirs.  Remember this is a 
worldwide issue, not just in the US. Imagine the possibilities.


RIAA LOSES HEAD NAPSTER NAZI, 
WHILE NAPSTER IS CAUGHT IN A LIE

Former RIAA lawyer, Steven Fabrizio is no fool.  Seeing his sinking ship 
start to veer towards an iceberg, the "general" of the Napster/RIAA war,
has called it quits and bailed on the RIAA (the lobby group suing Napster on 
behalf of the Big Five major labels).  Rather than fight the "good
fight" Steven will be engaging in a different kind of war: taking an extended 
vacation with his new wife.

RIAA president, Hillary Rosen shocked by the sudden news of her long
time trustee hitting the trail, was too stymied to say anything other than
the standard media training comment to reporters this week.  ''We'll be
fine,'' Rosen muttered, biting the sides of her cheeks.

Probably not, Hillary, as Fabrizio has been the main architect of many 
Internet related copyright battles aimed at suppressing artists from 
marketing their own music independently from the Big Five.  Some of his 
greatest hits have been the 1998 suit where the RIAA sought royalties on 
sales of Diamond Rio portable digital-music players, in which the RIAA
came off looking like a class of amateurs, as they left the court house in 
disgrace. But then, there was this year's string of Fabrizio victories 
against MP3.com, which have already cost that company $80 million in 
settlements.

With BMGs surprise announcement of their alliance with Napster only a
couple of days ago, it can make the paranoid mind wonder if Steve-o
 had a bit of inside info of his own, that help him in his career decision.

Caught in a Lie?

However, Napster is not off the hook either.  The faux working class
heroes, who are now firmly in bed with music giant BMG, was caught in a
 lie that their new big brother partner will have to answer for.  One of 
Napster's affiliates reverse-engineered Napster's peer-to-peer sharing 
technology in order to develop open-source clones.  They claimed that
 Napster's so-called, "playing dumb" routine--not being able to police what
 gets posted on their service--is a sham.  According to them, the company
 could, with relative ease, screen out the great majority of infringing files 
from its music directory. If they wanted to.  Whistle blower, David Weekly,
 a longtime fixture on the MP3 scene, who has posted an analysis of Napster's
protocol on the Internet, claims Napster has all but perjured themselves. 
 ''Napster knows who is sharing what with whom else, and they could stop it.''

Meanwhile, Napster, with little fanfare, released a Mac version of their 
software.

And the band plays on.

How this effects you

Coincidence, that Fabrizio's ship sailed just as the RIAA is about to
get a Federal Court ass-whooping?  I think not.  And why? Because the suit is 
stupid. Hey, if I know two people, one who owns a Rolling Stones record
and one who wants a Rolling Stones record, and I introduce them to each
other, and they conspire to copy the CD, should I go to jail for "facilitating 
copyright infringement?"  If Napster loses, that's what the new law
would likely be.  Scary, when you think that the entire music and Internet
industry operates on people giving each other music.  But all this is mute, now
that Napster has made their bed with Big Five BMG to set up a peer-to-peer
service that will rival AOLs.

Meanwhile, another thorn in the RIAA's side will be a new Bill recently 
introduced called the Music Owners' Listening Rights Act of 2000.  This 
ill-fated project, if passed, would allow you to store CDs that you
bought on your hard drive and listen to them on line without it being 
considered "infringement." Naturally, MP3.com and Napster have been 
salivating at the possibilities but this bill could hurt more than it will help in the
long run, at least in my opinion.  If you're a supporter of the digital wild
west and want to keep music "free" on the Internet, you'll want to do a
search on this Bill and get the facts for yourself.  (For those interested, the
dude to write to is Congressman Rick Boucher (D-VA) and the Bill's # is:
HR5275.)

What to look for

Whoever wins this one the RIAA will have huge PR problems to solve
especially now that their own constituents are coming down on Napster's side.  
They will likely get behind several pro-intenet causes just to look impartial. 
Don't let this fool you when they do.  Take notice of the causes the chose to 
"support."  They will likely be ones that involve multitudes of bureaucracy 
and ambiguity in their intentions.

For instance, To ease anti-Internet rap the RIAA is attracting, this
month The National Music Publishers' Association, Inc. (NMPA) and the 
RIAA jointly announced that they have agreed on a way that songs could
 be licensed on the Internet.  This is a huge step in the right direction.  
('bout time) But how long this will take is anyone's guess.

This will likely effect companies like, Musicbank; one of the few
companies that has struck a deal with some major labels and offered a 
per-streamfee to provide access to music from various catalogs.  So far 
Warner Brothers, and Uni have signed on to Musicbank's system.  
(BMG also has an alliance with them, as they "collect" alliances like baseball 
cards across the entire Internet this month. ) Three out of the Big Fives is 
not bad, and shows signs that this is this company to look out for in the near 
future and that Majors are making a move they should have made years ago. 
Watch out for RIAA/Musicbank mutual back patting in the press. 

The point to all this is that it's entirely likely that by the time
courts reach a decision on Napster, it wouldn't matter any more.


MTV FOLDS THE BOX:  SENDS ITS LONG TIME 
COMPETITOR TO THE BACK OF THE BUS

You haven't seen it in the trades yet much, but starting December 31st,
2000 viewers tuning into The Box will get different logo in the lower right: 
MTV2.

Aside from the change in brand will viewers notice any other difference? 
Oh you betcha!  The Box: music television that you (sort of) control, has
had no control after being sold to Viacom over a year ago. (Viacom is the
parent company that owns MTV).  Starting the first of the new year MTV 
plans to immediately fold The Box into nonexistence.  My inside source says
they claim this is due to the fact that The Box has yet to turn a dime of profit in
the decade it's been on the air.  One then wonders why Viacom bought it at 
inflated book value?

The Box was a pay-per-view music channel where viewers would call in and 
request a video in exchange for a fee of about $4 per view. This format 
attracted mostly labels that were trying to create artificial popularity
for a new release.  The Box did its best to hide this, but everyone pretty
much knew that labels, not sit-at-home viewers, financed everything on The
Box's programming.

No one seemed to mind this except MTV, who at one time had a virtual
monopoly on TV music video broadcasting. The Box, by comparison, cost 
labels only a fraction of the cash required to launch a video into heavy
 rotation on MTV.  The Box also didn't pretend to be about popular taste to 
those inside the industry.  Their airtime was available for a fee.  Usually this 
took the form of a label hiring them to produce an artist promotional for about
$10,000.  This would be followed up by "fans" calling in to request 
(and pay for)the video viewing.

A New Kind of Merger

The MTV press release calls this move a "merger," but most mergers that
we read about involve a blending of resources.  This is more of a chop job:
MTV plans to fire everyone, throw the name away and simple jack into The
Box's cable distribution system which will effectively boost their cable 
accessibility by 30,000,000 homes. 

The fact that we've heard very little about MTV's folding of The Box
speaks volumes as to their commercial and possibly political motivations.  
It's no secret that The Box was/is still geared mostly towards Gansta,
underground, and hip hop, while MTV and its sister brand, VH-1, is bleached 
with almost exclusively "mainstream" artists.  MTV2 does not intend to 
address this inequity with their new programming.  So, the real question
 then is,what will happen to the cool urban videos with those hot chicks 
and great cars, when The Box goes bye bye in January?

In this department the spin in MTV's press release is pure PR poetry,
"By incorporating [The Box's] technology and expertise in interactivity and 
localization, we are giving fans more choice and control over their
music, and the music industry a truly viable outlet that will expose and break
the broadest possible range of artists." --David Cohn, General Manager,
MTV2.

It's unclear what choice or control David Cohn is referring to, since
the MTV2 plans no "call in" service or diversified formats that include The
Box's video catalogue, but I'm not cynical.  I'll wait and see.

The Ugly Truth

Label executives have never enjoyed financing the rap and R&B culture. 
The fact that rap/Hip Hop outsells rock, and has been since the late 1970s,
was suppressed for the longest time.  This changed in 1991 when the 
emerging technology of Soundscan made the real statistics impossible to hide. 

Naturally, when one genre prevails another recedes.  In this case it was 
rock/alternative artists, who now found themselves begging for tour
support money.  (Mangers of rock acts, you may recall the long waiting 
periods for contracts to close and often with tight album budgets.)   Majors
begrudgingly had a hard time justifying very expensive rock acts.  
Why send five guys on the road with mountains of equipment when three
 rappers, three mikes and a DJ will earn twice as much in the retail store and 
at the box office. This sentiment, however profitable, has never sat well in 
the mindset of label execs, most of whom entered this business hoping to
 promote the next Three Dog Night, not the next Snoop Doggy Dog. 

It's not unreasonable to assert that the higher power structure wouldn't
mind seeing the statistics tilt back to what they were in the mid 1970s, when 
"music meant something."  Could The Box "merger" be part of that agenda? 
It depends how paranoid you are.

What to look for

There will probably be significantly less of urban music on your cable
dial after December 31st. About a year from now watch for Billboard
interviews with label heads announcing that sales in R&B music have 
"mysteriously" fallen off.  Fewer signings of Afro-American artists, and 
a merging of R&B/Hip Hop/rap marketing campaigns to AAA formats 
will follow this.(Nothing new there.)  Also expect more homogenized 
artists like Christina Aguilera and N'Sync as a result.  Album budgets for 
Afro-American artists will likely be reduced, smaller imprint labels, 
specializing in urban artists, will also be merged into their parent companies.  

Billboard reporters will make it sound as if this is an organic
phenomenon; that the fickle public has just finally grown tired of Gangsta 
antics and ghetto/folk raps, but you will know, cause you will have read it
here first, that the fickle public had a little help in their decision making.


What you can do

If ever there was a need for a letter writing campaign, it was here. 
Make sure that programmers at MTV2 know that you intend to be vociferous
unless they allocate airtime for all types of artists.

What I want to know is, why hasn't Urban Expose, the cutting edge 
entertainment journalists of color, picked up this angle; unless they
have something to gain from this euthanasia of The Box as well.  I'll be
looking into that in the coming months.  Stay tuned.

A list of Viacom International Inc's holdings:  MTV Networks, MTV: MUSIC 
TELEVISION, MTV2, VH1, NICKELODEON/NICK at NITE, TV LAND, TNN, 
CMT and THE DIGITAL SUITE FROM MTV NETWORKS, a package of nine 
digital services, all of which are trademarks of MTV Networks.  In addition, 
MTV Networks operates the MTVi Group and Nickelodeon Online, and a 
portfolio of leading Internet properties.  And now the boxed up Box.  
It's on big happy family.


AOL WANTS TO "CURE" GAYS

Don't look for this story in Entertainment Weekly (A Time publication)
but, the AOL/Time Warner, probably the most significant merger in music
 history, has been previewed by an embarrassing bit of news when it was
 reported this week that AOL Chairman Steve Case donated $8 million to a 
religious school who has pledged to "cure'' homosexuals with prayer.  
This is no joke. There is intra-irony here in that Time Inc. has developed 
a reputation of being very tolerant of homosexual hiring practices.  
Just one more frill that will likely fall by the wayside after the merger.

It is actually Case's wife, Jean, who made the donation to the
Westminster Academy, a private school run by the Rev. D. James Kennedy's 
Coral Ridge Presbyterian Church of Fort Lauderdale, Fla. She claimed that 
she had no idea that religious school didn't approve of homosexuals and 
didn't make the connection between it and the vocal anti-gay Church that 
owned the school and was right next door to it. 

Lowell Selvin, CEO of Gay.com, a website that preaches tolerance, was
himself tolerant towards the Cases: ''Maybe they weren't aware of the ties to
the anti-gay ministry,'' he said, stoically.

"Some of our best friends are Gay," Jean resonated at the press
conference, where she was surrounded by Afro-Americans, Jews and 
physically challenged people.  After the conference, Steve Case could be 
heard screaming at his wife, "Jean, I told you not to write checks without 
consulting our publicist!" 

(I made that last paragraph up.  It didn't happen.  Any similarity to
people living or dead is not my problem.)

How this affects you

I can't wait till after the merger and these guys are the biggest record 
label in the world.  What a party it's going to be.


SECURE MUSIC DOWNLOAD INITIATIVE IS ANYTHING BUT? 
SAY IT AIN'T SO, JOE.  SAY IT AIN'T SO

It's a digital pissing match of unparalleled proportions.  Tech heads on
both sides of the Secure Music Download Initiative controversy (SMDI) are
showing the world who has a bigger one this month when a group of Princeton 
lab geeks claimed they broke the supposedly "unbreakable codes" that would allow
the SDMI to stream music over the  Internet "securely" without fear of being 
pirated.

SMDI's code was going to be the corner stone of "safe sales" of music
and pave the way for major labels to final start putting their catalogue
on-line to compete with emerging renegades like MP3.com.  But now it's shot to
hell, thanks to Princeton computer-science professor Edward Felton and his
group, who leaked to several news sources that ''all four of [SMDI's] schemes
would have been cracked by pirates if they had been deployed.''

Naturally, a company working for the Initiative (Verance Corp.) which 
produced one of the allegedly hacked watermarking technologies,
disagrees.  They told news sources that SMDI is cool and that their 
technology had not been cracked. Whom do you believe?

How does this affect you?

If SMDI system fails it means that major labels will likely become even
more obnoxious about litigating small on-line record companies into
nonexistence.  If the system succeeds they can at least try to monopolize it, 
charging exorbitant licensing fees to the smaller company's for "encoding and 
watermarking" their CDs.  This is clearly the lesser of the two evils.
Either way, the losers are small labels.

What to watch for

Well, first off, if SMDI assigns new contractors to write code, that
will be a sure sign of the truth that the codes were broken.  At best, it's a
set back for the secure music on the web and worse, SMDI could become the
payola model for the new millennium if we let it.   Because, who qualifies to 
receive the "necessary" technology to distribute on-line and who
doesn't, could be for sale to the highest bidder.  Imagine a major alliance (like 
AOL-Time Warner or AT&T/BMG) making the SMDI a required standard for use
on their distribution system.  They could, in effect, hold the entire
industry hostage.  Watch to see which Big Five players come to its aid in the
next few months as SMDI tries to climb out of this PR debacle.

What you can do about it

Prepare for the storm.  Controlling new technology is not a new gig for
Big Fives and their parent holding companies, like Philips Electronics
(holders of the CD patent) . They did this back in the 1980s with CD pressing. 
(Remember when to press a CD you needed a petroleum jelly encased room
and men in environmental suits?)  If you're an on-line label, start shopping 
around for an alternative to SMDI as its is only a matter of time until
SMDI (or some other version of it) establishes itself as a standard.  When
they do, large labels will find a way to take control.  My sources tell me
that there are already contenders sniffing around the hen house.  I can't
name names but their initials are AOL)  This means elitism on par with things
like super high priced "independent promotion" (ala "Hit Men"-- required
reading in classroom.)  which keeps smaller labels from getting their artist's
spun on commercial radio, or RIAA certification of Gold and Platinum sales
awards and Billboard chart placement, which requires barcoding, registration
fees and affiliation dues, or MTV airplay which, due to the way cable
distribution laws are written, requires registering trade names in every state
(each state charges a fee).  The list goes on.

In each case above Indies have found alternatives to the traditional
lines created by the industry. SMDI, however, will be the most important new
area where an alternative will be necessary, as the Internet becomes more
vital the mainstay of Indie distribution.  There are alternatives in
development, I suggest learning about them before your choice is made for you. 
Absent any objection SMDI has an excellent chance of become a monopoly.

OBITUARY

Spin Records, the promising on-line record company, which many were
looking towards as a model for the new frontier of on-line record companies, 
has all but shut its doors.  Several weeks ago they announced that most of their 
staff was let go with little to no notice.  If you log on to their
website today it reads:  "updating our service."  I didn't know these guys 
personally, but I mourn their passing.  Services are being held at 
www.betterlucknexttime.com.

That's all for now.  Till next time.

Moses Avalon

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